April 19, 2004

A Year in Review: Trends in the U.S. Multifamily Market
February Starts Still High, but Down From January
Real Rents Lag Behind Inflation
Forecast: Interest Rates Stand Still, Jobs Grow
MFSI Hits Its Highest Level Ever
 
Content provided by
Paul Emrath, Ph.D.
MFSI content by
Elliot Eisenberg, Ph.D.

Published by NAHB Multifamily

Sharon Dworkin Bell,
Sr. Staff V.P.
 
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  MFSI Hits Its Highest Level Ever
During the month of March, the MFSI rose by 58 points — slightly more than 3%. With this rise, the MFSI is at its highest value ever recorded and is almost 28% higher than it was 12 months ago. During the same period of time, the S&P 500 with dividends fell by 1.5%, and is now slightly more than 35% higher than it was 12 months ago — a performance seven percentage points better than the MFSI. Because the MFSI rose while the S&P 500 with dividend reinvested declined during March, the percentage difference between the two indexes increased from 78 percent to 86 percent, a level last seen four months ago. Due to the consistently strong showing of the S&P 500 over the past year, the S&P has outperformed the MFSI over the past 12 months. However, the MFSI continues to dramatically outperform the S&P 500 over the past two, three, four and five year time time periods. Since December 1998, the MFSI has risen by 84% while the S&P 500 with dividends has fallen by about 1%.

During March, the price-to-earnings ratio (P/E) of the MFSI rose from 17.84 to 18.07, while the dividend yield, defined as the total cash dividend payments divided by the current stock price, fell from 6.24% to 6.02%. The MFSI is an index of 28 publicly traded US headquartered firms, including 23 REITs, principally involved in multifamily ownership and management.

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