February 16, 2007

By David F. Seiders
NAHB Chief Economist

 
Sign-up or renew your subscription to HousingEconomics.com
Subscribe to NAHB
e-Newsletters
Unsubscribe to News and Alerts
Change Your Subscription Email
About HousingEconomics
E-mail Our Editor
. NAHB Home Page
. Browse other NAHB
e-Newsletters
. Browse NAHB Books and Periodicals
Search Back Issues
Printer Friendly
Housing Starts Dropped 14.3% as Builders Reduce Inventories
Housing starts slumped 14.3 percent in January 2007 to an annual pace of 1.408 million while building permits declined 2.8 percent from December to a 1.568 million pace. Starts of single-family homes dropped 11.2 percent last month to a 1.108 million rate, the weakest since August 1997, while work on multifamily units contracted by 24.1 percent to an annual rate of 300,000. All four Census regions participated in the month-to-month decline, the largest declines having been posted in the Midwest and West.

Housing Starts and Building Permits for January 2007
 
DATE
CURRENT
LAST
% Change
Download Starts and Permits
Starts
2/16/2007
1.643 M
-14.3%
Permits
2/16/2007
1.613 M
-2.8%

Read additional information and download data (Excel) for Housing Starts & Permits.

Housing & Economic Outlook Seminar at the 2007 IBS (Handouts)

 Where will the economy go in 2007? This seminar focused on the state of the nation's economy and its impact on housing. Nationally known economists discussed the outlook for employment, prices and financing for both the long and short-term. 

The speakers at this Economic Seminar were:

  • David Seiders, NAHB's Chief Economist and Senior Staff Vice President.
  • David Berson, Fannie Mae's Vice President/Chief Economist.
  • Frank Nothaft, Freddie Mac's Chief Economist.  

 Please note: This information is usually available only to Executive-Level subscribers. However, it has been made available free to you as a sample of the exclusive content we post at HousingEconomics.com. 

Click here to download the full presentations now.

Key Indicators for the Housing Industry

Housing Market Statistics

Discover all of the key data and primary indicators for the housing industry in one easy-to-navigate location. Full Sample

Housing Starts

(PDF & PowerPoint)

 Manufactured Homes 

(Excel & PowerPoint)

 New SF Sales

(Excel & PowerPoint) 

Inventory of New Homes

(Excel & PowerPoint)

Download All the Housing Market Statistics

Housing Market Statistics offers 35 different tables, downloadable either as Excel or PDF files (updated weekly). Access to this key housing data is available only to HousingEconomics.com subscribers.  Sample 

Multifamily Forecast & State of The Industry (PowerPoints)

Here you will find the PowerPoint presentation "Multifamily Economic Forecast and State of The Industry". This seminar was presented by Bernie Markstein, Staff Vice President for Economics for the National Association of Home Builders, at the 2007 International Builders Show in Orlando.

 HousingEconomics Subscribers   Click here to download the PowerPoint presentations.

Not a subscriber yet? Instant Online Access Now!

Business Tax Advocacy (In-Depth Analysis Article)

Do trade associations and other business interests advocate effectively on tax issues? This is a question raised by many in the tax policy community when discussing the positions adopted by business in tax debates. Essentially, these tax policy analysts are trying to determine why businesses would oppose proposals that the analysts believe would benefit business and the economy over the long-run. For these observers, an obvious potential answer is that the business community does not know what is good for them because tax law and the economics of tax policy are complicated. In this article, I argue that this conclusion is mistaken and that there are other, valid reasons why business interests in general, and home builders in particular, are wary of certain comprehensive tax reform proposals.

As a recent example, in November 2005, the President’s Advisory Panel on Federal Tax Reform released its report, which recommended significant changes to the nation’s tax system.  Among its proposals, the Panel recommended that the present-law mortgage interest deduction should be transformed. The Panel would repeal the existing deduction in its entirety, including the deductions for second homes and home equity loan interest, and replace the provision with a more limited 15% credit for certain amounts of mortgage interest paid on first home debt only. The National Association of Home Builders (NAHB) strongly opposed this proposal and other recommendations made by the Panel. NAHB argued that the proposal would overturn the established Federal policy commitment to homeownership by reducing the values of homes and hurting the wealth of homeowners, particularly recent homebuyers. NAHB was joined in its opposition by members of Congress and other housing-related organizations.

HousingEconomics Subscribers  click here to read the full report.

 

Building Permits & Employment Data for States and Metros

 Building Permits and Employment data by States and Metropolitan Statistical Areas (MSAs), are available for download (Excel tables).

Also Available for HousingEconomics.com subscribers:

Home of the Future, Remodeling Outlook & Industry Consolidation (Handouts)

Here you will find the IBS seminars: Home of the Future, The Remodeling Outlook and Consolidation of the Home-Building Industry presented at the 2007 International Builders Show in Orlando. These educational seminars were presented by Gopal Ahluwalia, Staff Vice President for research for the National Association of Home Builders Economics Group.

Click here to download the PowerPoint presentations.

Calendar: Data Releases for March 2007

Mark your calendar for all of  the housing industry key data and primary indicators for March 2007.

Click here to print the schedule of release dates for economic indicators. (PDF)

To see the 2007 release date calendar, please click here. (Excel)

Do You Know How Housing Impacts Your Local and State Economies?

NAHB does. Look ahead with the Home Builders Forecasts by region and type such as:

  • State and Metro Forecasts — Includes Starts Forecast, Excel tables of Total, Single-Family, and Multifamily Housing Starts by Regions, States, and the Top 100 Metropolitan areas (See free samples).
  • Executive-Level Forecast — Monthly forecast of economic activity, inflation, interest rates, and housing activity; the Executive-level forecasts contain an executive summary, in-depth detail, and historical data with annual and quarterly forecasts for all indicators (Sample).

Whether you advise, consult or work specifically on improving your own company’s profitability, you can rely on the premier data source for the U.S. housing industry, HousingEconomics.com

The NAHB Economics Group has provided research and analytical solutions to member companies and professional economists since 1970. This kind of editorial excellence and in-depth analysis can only be found at www.HousingEconomics.com.

For more information or to contact us directly, please visit www.HousingEconomics.com