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Foreclosure Hike Tied to Single-Family Permit Drop in Most States
Rising foreclosure rates show a strong correlation with declining single-family housing permits, according to a new research study from NAHB economists, but market dynamics vary so widely that there are “extreme” variations in how foreclosures, production, house prices and homeownership rates match up on a state by state basis.
The study takes a hard look at unfamiliar trends in many local housing markets over the past year or two — including rising foreclosure rates, declining production and prices of owner-occupied housing and a falling homeownership rate.
In California, for example, the rate of all mortgages going into foreclosure was 1.04% during last year’s fourth quarter and 4.62% for subprime loans, increases of 158% and 146%, respectively, from the same period of 2006.
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