6:00 p.m. — 19 Electoral Votes
Polls close in Indiana and Kentucky (though both states are partially in the central time zone, expect the news organizations to make their projections based on those areas in the eastern zone).
No purple toss-up states here — Bush should win both states decisively. Should Bush lose either, plan for an early night and a Kerry landslide.
Races to watch:
- IN/08: Rep John Hostetler (R)
- IN/09: Rep. Baron Hill (D)
- KY/Senate: Sen. Jim Bunning (R)
- KY/03: Rep. Ann Northop (R)
- KY/04 race for the open seat of Ken Lucas (D): Geoff Davis (R) vs. Nick Clooney (D)
7:00 p.m. — 70 Electoral Votes
Polls close in Florida (except the panhandle), Georgia, New Hampshire, South Carolina, Vermont and Virginia.
Two big purple states here — Florida and New Hampshire. Networks are likely to wait another hour until the polls close in the panhandle section of Florida before making a projection there based on exit polling.
Races to Watch:
- FL/Senate race for the open seat of Bob Graham (D): Mel Martinez (R) vs. Betty Castor (D)
- GA/Senate race for the open seat of Zell Miller (D): Rep. Johnny Isakson (R) vs. Denise Majette (D)
- GA/03: Rep. Jim Marshall (D)
- GA/12: Rep. Max Burns (R)
- SC/Senate race for the open seat of Ernest Hollings (D): Rep. Jim DeMint (R) vs. State Education Superintendent Inez Tannennbaum (D)
7:30 p.m. — 40 Electoral Votes
Polls close in North Carolina, Ohio and West Virginia
Two purple states here — Ohio and West Virginia
Races to Watch:
- NC/Senate race for the open seat of John Edwards (D): former Clinton Chief of Staff Erskine Bowles (D) faces Rep. Richard Burr (R).
- NC/11: Rep. Charles Taylor
8:00 p.m. — 197 Electoral Votes
Polls close in Alabama, Connecticut, Delaware, District of Columbia, Illinois, Kansas, Maine, Maryland, Michigan, Mississippi, Missouri, New Jersey, Oklahoma, Pennsylvania, Tennessee and Texas.
Three purple states here — Michigan, Missouri and Pennsylvania.
Races to Watch:
- AL/03: Rep. Mike Rogers (R)
- CT/02: Rep. Rob Simmons (R)
- CT/04: Rep. Chris Shays (R)
- IL/Senate race for the open seat of Peter Fitzgerald (R): Barack Obama (D) will be the junior senator from Illinois — net one seat to the Dems.
- IL/08: Rep. Phil Crane (R)
- KS/03: Rep. Dennis Moore (D)
- OK/Senate race for the open seat of Don Nickles (R): Brad Carson (D) vs. former Rep. Tom Coburn (R )
- PA/06: Rep. Jim Gerlach (R)
- PA/08 race for the open seat of Jim Greenwood (R): Virginia Schrader vs. Michael Fitzpatrick (R)
- PA/13 race for the open seat of Joseph Hoeffel (D): Allison Schwartz (D) vs. Melissa Brown (R)
- PA/15 race for the open seat of Pat Toomey (R): Joe Driscoll (D) vs. Charlie Dent (R)
- PA/17: Rep. Tim Holden (D)
- TX/01: Rep. Max Sandlin (D)
- TX/02: Rep. Nick Lampson (D)
- TX/17: Rep. Chet Edwards (D)
- TX/19: Rep. Charlie Stenholm (D) vs. Rep Randy Neugebauer (R)
- TX/32: Rep. Martin Frost (D) vs. Rep Pete Sessions (R)
8:30 p.m. — 6 Electoral Votes
Polls close in Arkansas
9:00 p.m. — 99 Electoral Votes
Polls close in Arizona, Colorado, Louisiana, Minnesota, Nebraska, New Mexico, New York, Rhode Island, South Dakota, Wisconsin and Wyoming.
Four big purple states here — Colorado, Minnesota, New Mexico and Wisconsin.
Races to Watch:
AZ/01: Rep. Rick Renzi (R)
CO/Senate race for the open seat of Ben Campbell (R): Ken Salazar (D) vs. Pete Coors (R)
CO/03 race for open seat of Scott McInnis (R): John Salazar (D) vs. Greg Walcher (R)
CO/07: Rep. Bob Beauprez (R)
LA/Senate for the open seat of John Breaux (D): David Vitter (R) vs. a Democratic candidate to be determined in a December runoff
LA/03 for the open seat of Rep. Billy Tauzin (R): Billy Tauzin III (R) vs. a Democratic candidate to be determined in a December runoff
LA/05: Rep. Rodney Alexander (R)
LA/07 for the open seat of Chris John (D): John Boustany (R) vs.a Democratic candidate to be determined in a December runoff
NE/01 for the open seat of Doug Bereuter (R): Matt Conneally (D) vs. Jeff Fortenberry (R)
NE/02: Rep. Lee Terry (R)
NM/01: Rep. Heather Wilson (R)
NY/01: Rep. Tim Bishop (D)
NY/27 for the open seat of Jack Quinn (R): Brian Higgins (D) vs. Nancy Naples (R)
NY/29 for the open seat of Amory Houghton (R): Samara Berend (D) vs. Randy Kuhl (R)
SD/Senate: Sen. Tom Daschle (D)
SD/01: Rep. Stephanie Herseth (D)
WI/Senate: Sen. Russell Feingold (D)
10:00 p.m. — 27 Electoral Votes
Polls close in Idaho, Iowa, Montana, Nevada, North Dakota and Utah.
One purple state — Nevada.
Races to Watch:
- IA/03: Rep. Leonard Boswell (D)
- NV/03: Rep. Jon Porter (R)
- UT/02: Rep. Jim Matheson (D)
11:00 p.m. — 77 Electoral Votes
Polls close in California, Hawaii, Oregon and Washington.
Two purple states — Oregon and Washington.
Races to Watch:
- CA/20 for the open seat of Calvin Dooley (D): Jim Costa (D) vs. Roy Ashburn (R)
- OR/01: Rep. David Wu (D)
- OR/05: Rep. Darlene Hooley (D)
- WA/Senate: Sen. Patty Murray (D)
- WA/05 for the open seat of George Nethercutt (R): Don Barbieri (D) vs. Cathy McMorris (R)
- WA/08 for the open seat of Jennifer Dunn (R): Dave Ross (D) vs. Dave Reichert (R)
12:00 a.m. — 5 Electoral Votes
Polls close in Alaska.
Race to Watch:
- AK Senate: Sen. Lisa Murkowski (R)
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