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Week of December 8, 2003

Front Page

President's Message

* 2003 – A Year to Remember

Housing Politics

* Congress Delays Decision on Flood Insurance

Housing and Economics

* New-Home Sales to Top One Million This Year Despite Small October Dip
* Existing-Home Sales Soften in October, But Still Near Record
* Eye on the Economy

Multifamily

* Condominium Sales Are Hotter Than Ever

Housing Finance

* Fannie-Freddie Conforming Loan Limit Increases Announced for 2004
* Appointment of New Freddie Mac Chairman Applauded

Business Management

* Beware Software Consultants Who Are Salespeople in Disguise

Seniors Housing

* End the Mystery of Poor Sales With Mystery Shopping

Small Builders and Remodelers

* In-house Design Services — Yes or No?

Sales and Marketing

* The Marketing Plan: What It Is, How It Works and Why You’ll Love It

Member Dividends

* Long Island Builders Successfully Oppose Real Estate Transfer Tax

Labor

* Project CRAFT Receives Praise for Habitat Efforts

Housing Forum

* Observations from a Small Volume Builder: Ten Secrets to Success
* The Best Remedy for Settling

Building News Coast To Coast

Association News & Events

* One Home at a Time, Mississippi Builder Putting Working Families on the Road to the American Dream
* Find the Right NAHB Staff Faster Than Ever Online
* Calendar of Events

NBN Back Issues

 

New-Home Sales to Top One Million This Year Despite Small October Dip

Sales of new single-family homes, bolstered by favorable mortgage rates and solid house-price gains, are expected to top one million units this year even though the seasonally adjusted sales rate dipped slightly in October, according to NAHB.

New home sales slipped 3.5% to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.105 million units, the Commerce Department reported.

"New-home sales are continuing well in excess of last year’s previous record pace," said NAHB President Kent Conine. "While we experienced a slight slowdown last month, financing conditions remain extremely favorable across all segments of the market and we remain on course to establish a new sales record for single-family homes for 2003."

NAHB Chief Economist David Seiders noted that the “frenetic” sales pace established during this year’s third quarter was unsustainable.


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"Some slowdown was expected in October,” Seiders said, “but we’re projecting 1.08 million home sales for the year as a whole, up by nearly 11% from 2002.”

With consumer sentiment and confidence both increasing this fall and the job market finally appearing to show systematic improvement, Seiders noted that the environment for housing would remain “very good” for the balance of this year.

Sales in October were down 0.5% in the Midwest, 1.0% in the South, 3.3% in the Northeast and 9.4% in the West, where activity nevertheless was 1.4% ahead of a year earlier.

The inventory of new homes for sale in October increased slightly to 360,000 units, representing a thin four-months supply at the current sales pace and exceptionally low by historical standards.

"Inventory has increased slightly, but there is a negligible increase in the actual number of units that have been completed and are for sale," Seiders said. "Most of the inventory increase represents units permitted but not yet started, as well as units still under construction."
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