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Builder Confidence in Condo Market Sinks in Third Quarter
Responding to slower sales and a growing inventory of units on the market, builder confidence in the condominium housing market eroded in this year’s third quarter, according to the latest NAHB/Fannie Mae Multifamily Condo Market Index (MCMI).
“Many of these condo communities are large, urban projects or high-rise communities in resort locations, and as such, they take a long time to plan and build compared to a single-family home” said David Seiders, NAHB’s chief economist. “As a result, multifamily developers cannot simply turn off the supply overnight, so it is going to take a little while before we work through the large overhang of inventory in this sector.”
The component of the index that tracks current condo supply conditions fell markedly to 19.7 during the third quarter, compared with 47.1 at the same time last year. The scale is from 0 to 100, and a rating of 50 generally indicates that the number of positive responses is about the same as the number of negative responses.
The index tracking builder expectations for the condo market over the next six months was also down, sinking to 27.9, compared to last year’s third quarter level of 55.3. Meanwhile the index tracking demand, based on the volume of traffic by prospective condo buyers, stood at 23.7.
In a series of special questions for condo developers, almost half of the respondents — 49% — reported that they had reduced prices on their condo units in order to boost sales. The majority of these respondents reported cutting their sale prices on units by 5% to 7%.
“With prices adjusting and interest rates still low, we are seeing increased affordability on many of these units,” said Seiders, who noted that the condo market really needs time to come back into equilibrium after the buying frenzy of the past several years. “With supply starting to be constrained, the market will have a chance to improve,” he said.
For more information, e-mail Ann Marie Moriarty at NAHB, or call her at 800-368-5242 x835.
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