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Home Resales, Mortgage Rates Surpass Expectations in December

With the pace of existing single-family home sales continuing to advance in December, home resales in 2003 easily shattered the previous year’s record, rising 9.6% over 2002 to a total of 6.1 million, the National Association of Realtors® (NAR) reported on Jan. 26.

Existing-home sales rose 6.9% in December to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 6.47 million units.

David Lereah, the association’s chief economist, said that he continues to be surprised by the strength of the housing market.

“We’ve been expecting the pace of home sales to ease, and a decline in November seemed to indicate a more sustainable pace, but the rebound in December — the second highest monthly pace on record — shows there’s still a lot of life in this market,” he said.

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“The biggest factor” behind the resurgence in sales, he observed, has been “a resumed decline in mortgage interest rates, which have been much lower than most analysts expected.”

According to Freddie Mac, the national average commitment rate for a 30-year, conventional, fixed-rate mortgage was 5.88% in December, down from 5.93% in November. Mortgage rates have declined further in January.

NAR President Walt McDonald said that, “Given the demand from a growing number of households in an improving economy, we can expect sales to remain close to record activity this year.”

December’s rate of home resales was up 2.9% in the Northeast to 720,000 units, 5.3% in the South to 2.58 million units, 7.9% in the West to 1.77 million units and 9.4% in the Midwest to 1.39 million units.


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See what's on the horizon for the housing industry at the semi-annual gathering of the country's premier economists and finance experts. Get the latest forecasts on housing starts, project budgets and other economic bellwethers at the Spring Construction Forecast Conference on April 21 at the National Housing Center in Washington, D.C. Visit the Web site for more information.

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