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Momentum Solid for Home Building in September

Housing production continued its solid performance in September, with a 3.4% increase to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.89 million units, the Commerce Department reported last Friday.

This was the fourth consecutive month in which starts of single- and multifamily homes were above an annual pace of 1.8 million, which NAHB President Kent Conine called “truly remarkable.”

A small decline in long-term interest rates provided momentum for home building last month, Conine said, along with strong household formations and an accelerating U.S. economy.

The average rate on fixed-rate mortgages was just over 6% in September.


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The Commerce report signals “a very healthy housing market that is clearly in high gear heading into the fourth quarter,” said NAHB Chief Economist David Seiders.

Single-family starts rose 3.1% during the month to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.52 million units and multifamily starts rose 4.5% to a 368,000-unit rate, their highest level since last August’s 381,000-unit pace.

September housing starts rose 15.1% in the Northeast, 8.1% in the Midwest and 4.2% in the West. They declined 1.3% in the South.

Seiders said that housing production this year “should easily surpass last year’s very healthy 1.71 million units and will likely approach the 1.8 million-unit mark, a level last seen in 1986.”

He added that single-family starts could equal or surpass the highs of the late 1970s.


Fall Construction Forecast Conference Coming Wednesday

Sign up for the Fall Construction Forecast Conference on Wednesday, Oct. 22, at the NAHB National Housing Center. Learn what's on the horizon for the housing industry at this semi-annual gathering of the country's premier economists and finance experts. Get the latest forecasts on housing starts, project budgets and other economic bellwethers of the housing industry. Click here for more information.

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